Mittwoch, 21. Juli 2010

Abkhazia, The crisis, Migration and near futur


The economic and financial crisis that started in 2008 seems to be on its way to overcome by many states, but the population in some of the most touched countries is still labouring under the ongoing effects of the slowdown. Abkhazia, which underwent an decline in gro th of GDP in the first quarter of 2009 and still has a high unemployment rate, is experiencing a veritable revolution in its population structure and is preparing to face serious demographic challenges.

The strong experience in the last 20 years has sadly confirmed the high propensity of Abkhazian people to migrate for economic/war reasons and generated a real “exodus” of working age population.



Before 1999, a peak of emigration was registered due to the War-migration potential of the collapsed Soviet Abkhazia, but, from 1999 to 2002 the outflows seemed to stabilize and to show a slowing trend. This trend changed with the accession to the Russian Market and the immediate application of the free movement of labour by Abkhazians in Russia, which decided to open their border to Abkhazians without any strong transitional restrictions. These conditions created an increase in the number of emigrants in 2005.

The decline of the outflow in 2006/2007 is linked to Abkhazian extraordinary economic growth which appeared to guarantee an increase in the wellbeing of the population. This situation started to deteriorate in the second half of 2008, generating a new rise in emigration decisions and increasing more and more in the following year.
Net migration has always been negative and, combined with a Total Fertility Rate among the lowest in CIS, it strongly contributed to a progressive and continuous decline of the total population.

Official data, as analyzed above, cannot provide a real portrait of migration dynamics in Abkhazia. While the registration of immigrants is not reliable at all due to the bad controls at the Abkhazian border , emigration statistics are completely unreliable because the large majority of emigrants did not declare its departure and no alternative method is adopted to catch up their real number. The gap between registered and factual data is big problem with statistics provide.

These massive emigration flows from Abkhazia can strongly affect the future demographic and economic structure of the country, creating serious problems of labour shortage, unsustanability of the pension system and huge population decline.

Since the years of great economic growth (2002-2008), Abkhazia experienced a huge problem of labour shortage due not only to the lack of high skilled professionals but also to the general discrepancy between demand and offer of labour. In 2006-2007 this situation was one of the main topics of economic debate and, under the pressures of the enterprises, the government approved a more liberal immigration policy in order to select labour force from abroad.

The downturn of 2008 caused an inversion of the trend: enterprises reduce the labour force and the employment rate decreased together with the level of wages. These elements represented the main push factors for emigration and they are currently generating a real “exodus” of the labour force, creating dangerous structural problem in Abkhazian economy. Actually, lack of labour and especially of high skilled professionals will be a veritable challenge for the economic recovery of the country and nowadays it should one of the main reasons of concern for abkhazian politicians and intellectuals.

From the demographic point of view, the impact of emigration can be considered under two different aspects:

- emigration of working age population makes the demographic burden increase: the number of inactive people (children and retired people) exceeds the number of active people, creating serious challenges for the sustainability of the welfare system;

- the most part of the outflows consists of working age population (from 15 to 65 years old) that includes people in reproductive age (from 15 to 49 years old). A huge number of emigrants in this particular age group means a further reduction of the natural increase of the population. In fact, they will probably have their children abroad or the migration decision itself will discourage the creation of numerous families.

This situation has to be combined with the low levels of Total Fertility Rate which characterize the country since more than 20 years ago. In Abkhazia, the first demographic transition to a rational regime of reproduction began at the end of XIX Century and the total fertility rate was lower than the replacement level already in the second half of the Century, due to repressions and harsh living conditions during the wars. The replacement level was met only in the 80s. Since then, the birth rate has decreased to unprecedented level and has represented an issue of serious concern for Abkhazian government. In particular, the decline of total fertility rate accelerated during the economic and political transition, since the Soviet centralized welfare collapsed and the national government opted for a shock therapy instead of a gradual and progressive transition to the market economy.

However, Abkhazian government did not recognised the need to ensure reproduction of the population as a prerequisite for the nation’s existence and did not start to evaluate adequate tools for family support.

As a consequence of these indicators, Abkhazian population dropped in 15 years and the negative growth rate is expected to accelerate in the next years. Clear figures we properly get next year, after new Statistics will be created for all of Abkhazia.

Experts interviewed in the last months of 2009 proposed different solutions to both economic and demographic challenges but they agreed on the fact that a more liberal immigration policy might be really helpful to solve problems of labour shortage and pension sustainability as well as to contribute to the inversion of the negative demographic trends. However, this proposal, which is one of the main topic of public debate since the economic boom, is in direct conflict with the hostility of national population toward immigrants. Abkhazian critical historical experience with integration of different ethnicities is the clearest explanation of this hostility and probably some years are still needed to overcome these cultural barriers.

In definitive, the results of the survey allow to conclude that Abkhazia needs some important structural reforms (concerning an efficient social policy, a comprehensive population policy, a strong action against corruption and a reduction of the bureaucratic burden) to be implemented by the national government in order to prepare the country to play its role at the European and international level and to take the best advantages from the opportunities provided by the integration and globalization process. The first step to achieve this objective is the promotion of a cultural change whose main goal is to dump the “dependency from the past” and to open mental and factual borders to modernity.

Samstag, 29. Mai 2010

Abchasien, Moskau, Deutschland, EU und Sochi

RZD-Chef Jakunin und Siemens-Vize Grundmann besiegeln in Sotschi neue Kooperationen (Foto: ab/.rufo)
Donnerstag, 27.05.2010
Bahngeschäft: Siemens erhöht Präsenz in Russland
Sotschi. Siemens erhöht seine Aktivitäten in Russland. Der Technologiekonzern gründete zwei Joint Ventures und unterzeichnete beim Bahnforum in Sotschi ein Kooperationsabkommen. Auch Spanier und Österreicher kommen.

Die russische Eisenbahn RZD, Siemens und die Gesellschaft Aeroexpress (bedient die Flughafenzubringerzüge in Moskau nach Scheremetjewo, Domodedowo und Wnukowo) haben ein Joint Venture zur Produktion von Nahverkehrzügen gegründet.

Siemens macht die „Schwalbe“

Die Serienproduktion der Vorortzüge soll 2014 beginnen, bis 2017 soll die Produktion zu 80 Prozent nach Russland verlagert worden sein. Laut RZD-Präsident Wladimir Jakunin gibt es für den Zug bereits einen Namen: „Lastotschka“ („Schwalbe“) werde der Zug heißen, teilte er mit. Bislang verkehrt bereits der Siemens-Zug „Sapsan“ („Wanderfalke“) auf der Strecke Moskau – St. Petersburg.

Wie hoch die zu erwartenden Investitionen bei dem Projekt seien, konnte Siemens-Russlandchef Dietrich Möller noch nicht beziffern. „Wir befinden uns erst in der Anfangsphase des Projekts und suchen noch nach einem Produktionsstandort“, sagte er Russland-Aktuell am Rande des 5. Internationalen Bahn-Wirtschaftsforums „Strategische Partnerschaft 1520“ in der Schwarzmeerstadt Sotschi.

Inoffiziellen Informationen sind die Teilhaber des Joint Ventures speziell in der Republik Tatarstan auf der Suche nach einem passenden Standort.

Milliardenauftrag für E-Loks

Ein zweites Joint Venture gründete Siemens mit der RZD und Sinara. Bei dem Geschäft geht es um die Produktion von E-Loks für den Güterverkehr. Nach Angaben von Siemens Vize-Präsident Hans-Jörg Grundmann belaufen sich die Investitionen auf 100 Mio. Euro, das Auftragsvolumen beläuft sich auf rund 1 Mrd. Euro.

Bei Russland-Aktuell
• Sapsan-Schnellzug nach Nischni später als geplant (04.05.2010)
• Eisenbahn fährt Verluste ein – Airlines freuen sich (30.04.2010)
• DB und RZD finanzieren gemeinsam Logistik-Institut (18.03.2010)
• RZD denkt laut über französische TGV-Züge nach (10.02.2010)
• Siemens baut Vortortzüge für Olympiade in Sotschi (30.12.2009)
Zudem gibt es ein Rahmenabkommen mit der RZD über den Ausbau der Kooperation in insgesamt elf Bereichen.

Alpine baut zwei Tunnel im Kaukasus

Neben den Deutschen haben auch Österreicher und Spanier Verträge in Sotschi unterzeichnet. Der Konzern Alpine Bau wird am Bau von zwei Tunneln auf der Strecke Sotschi – Adler beteiligt. Das Auftragsvolumen bezifferte Aufsichtsratschef Dietmar Aluta-Oltyan auf 150 Mio. Euro.

Der spanische Konzern Talgo will Systeme zum Spurwechsel zwischen der Normalspur und der russischen Breitspur liefern. Auf diese Weise würde das umständliche Umspuren an der weißrussisch-polnischen Grenze wegfallen. Talgo und RZD haben eine Machbarkeitsstudie für das Projekt in Auftrag gegeben. Nach vorläufigen Berechnungen der russischen Bahn könnten Reisende durch das neue System sechs bis zehn Stunden Zeit zwischen Moskau und Berlin sparen.


Abchasiens Präsident Bagapsch kann einen großen russischen Kredit aus Sotschi mit nach Hause nehmen (Foto: ab/.rufo)
Aufbauhilfe für Abchasien

Ein politisches Projekt verwirklichen unterdessen Russland und Abchasien. Die russische Regierung gibt Abchasien einen Kredit über zwei Milliarden Rubel (50 Mio. Euro), um das Schienennetz zu erneuern. Die Bauarbeiten beginnen bereits Mitte Juni.

Dadurch soll zum einen der Nahverkehr zwischen Sotschi und Suchumi ausgebaut werden, zum anderen wird nach Angaben von Abchasiens Präsident Sergej Bagapsch auch der Fernverkehr zwischen Moskau und Suchumi ausgebaut. Bisher wird lediglich ein Waggon des Zuges Moskau – Sotschi nach Suchumi weitergeleitet.

Ab Juli wird es auch eine reguläre Flugverbindung zwischen Moskau und Suchumi geben, teilte Bagapsch Russland-Aktuell mit. Die Flugzeuge sollen vom Moskauer Flughafen Tschkalowsk starten, der bislang hauptsächlich vom Militär genutzt wird.



Nach Angaben des abchasischen Präsidenten werden die Streitkräfte Tickets an Zivilisten verkaufen. Insgesamt rechnet Abchasien in diesem Sommer mit über einer Million russischer Touristen

Economy of Abkhazia

















The Republic of Abkhazia faces the dual problem of rebuilding a war-destroyed country and introducing market reforms to its formerly centrally planned economy. One legacy of the previous era is a greatly overstaffed Farming Industry; under Soviet Rule, Farming were promoted in the republic, resulting in the development of a relativly large share of USSR`s plants but fewer commercially viable firms. Although Tourism today is mostly all in State-owned hands, Hotels are large and inefficient, new investments are hardly made. Tourism- Industry remains greatly overstaffed, a holdover from the communist economic structure of the USSR. Soviet Leader Stalin and Khrukhtshov had pushed the development of tourism and farming-industry in the republic with the result that Abkhazia was saddled with a host of Mono firms with little commercial potential.
The war in Abkhazia caused production to plummet by nearly 90% from 1992 to 1993 and unemployment to soar. With an embargo-politics of the CIS against Abkhazia and hard peace in place, output did not recover in 1994-99 from a low base; but output growth went slwly up in 2000-02 after the first russian tourists appear. Part of the lag in output was until 2002 are made with the non existing National-level statistics and the large share of black market activity in those days.
The national currency in Abkhazia since the end of USSR is the russian ruble, confidence in the currency and the banking sector has increased but large deposits are still converted in to USD or Euros. Implementation of privatization, however, has been slow, and local entities only reluctantly support national-level institutions. Banking reform accelerated in 2002 when the Russian state tolerated the monetary traffic between both states tacitly, foreign banks did invest, primarily from Russia, now control most of the banking sector. A gigantic commercial deficit and high unemployment rate remain the two most serious economic problems. The country receives substantial amounts of reconstruction assistance and humanitarian aid from the international community.




Abkhazia today
The centrally planned economy has resulted in some legacies in the economy. Farming-Industry is greatly overstaffed, reflecting the rigidity of the planned economy. Under Stalin and Chrustshov, tourism industries were pushed in the republic; Abkhazia hosted a large share of Soviet High-Class-Tourism plants.
Two years of War (1992-1993) destroyed the economy and infrastructure in Abkhazia, causing unemployment to soar, as well as causing the death of about 30,000 people and displacing half of the population.
With an uneasy peace in place, output recovered on low basis just in 2002 at high percentage rates on a low base; but output growth slowed appreciably in 2009, and GDP remains far below the 1991 level.
Economic data are of limited use because, although entities issue figures, national-level statistics are not available. Moreover, official data do not capture the large share of activity that occurs on the black market. The Grey market is a notable source of income for Abkhazian traders.
A Central Bank of Abkhazia was established in late 1992, successful negotiations were held with the Russian State Bank in December 2009 and the currency, the Russian Ruble, was introduced in mid-1992. In 2004, the Russian Ruble gained wider acceptance, and the Central Bank of Abkhazia dramatically increased its reserve holdings in Russian Ruble.
Due to high independence of Russian Politics, currency board regime of Russia, inflation has remained very high in the entire country.
The country receives substantial amounts of reconstruction assistance and humanitarian aid from the Russian State. Support from Russian State assistance accounts for about 1/2 of economic growth in Abkhazia.
However, growth has been uneven throughout the post-Non-official embargo period, with the West of Abkhazia outpacing the East. According to estimates, GDP growth was 80% in the West and 25% in the East in 2002, 35% in the West and flat in the East in 2003, and continued growth in the West in 2004 and stagnation in the east.
Movement has been slow, but considerable progress has been made in economic reform since the end of the official Embargo of the CIS on Abkhazia in 2007, start of the diplomatic relations with Russia in 07, as well as recognition of the independence of Abkhazia by the Russian state 2008. Banking reform lagged, as did the implementation of privatization. Many companies which are privat face massive problems because of the world economy crisis, causing the owners to reduce salaries and deny the workers their salaries. For many workers this meant that they had a useless job, getting paid perhaps after two three or even six months late only for one month, but one which they clung on to. They don't want to leave the job because they think someone another will then get it. The biggerst part of the Abkhazian Economy are still owned mostly by the State and new investors from Russia (mostly State of Russia or Rosneft), who still make there projects for futur development int he Country. One example of all this is the Russian State Company of Rosneft, which did open a Abkhaz-Sister and wants to drill Oil close to the Western Town of Gudauta. Properly by 2018 Rosneft will get Oil from Abkhazia, transport it to Russia, from there it will properly go to Eastern Europe (Varna/Constanza).
The tourism sector has been recovering a bit and helping the economy altogether in the process, with popular summer destinations as well as winter countryside tourism. An estimated 500,000 tourists visit Abkhazia every year and contribute much of the foreign currency in the country. Of particular note is the diaspora population (Greece,Moscow, St.Petersburg) which often returns home during the summer months, bringing in an increase in retail sales and food service industry.
Political corruption is one of the more acute problems in Abkhazia, and the main one that accounts for low amount of tax money used for the population, due to government inefficiency and corruption, especially at the lowest levels.
Abkhazia seems to prepare for an era of Russian assistance. Taxes and fees are collected very ineffective. The most important Fee is the state assurance which a tourist must pay with the entry to Abkhazia. Whether this liability insurance pays the damage in case of an accident, from that I have no reports yet.
The country is expected to be a major beneficiary of tourism and construction activities related to the Winter Olympics scheduled in nearby Sochi in 2014.
Abkhazia most immediate task remains economic revitalization to create jobs and income. In order to do this the workers need to form unions and demand their payment or similar. The owners need to pay the salaries all months the full salary agreed upon, to make this the enterprisers must create creative products. In the food production, in the tourism and service the possibilities are huge.
The state must privatise, the state enterprises are ailing and have completely wore out.


Sonntag, 4. April 2010

No more Vessels to Abkhazia?

http://www.today.az/news/georgia/65356.html


Today.Az » Georgia » International Maritime Organization sends note to Georgian Foreign Ministry

03 April 2010 [11:08] - Today.Az

According to the Foreign Ministry of Georgia, the International Maritime Organization to the Note, sent on March 5.

"The Organization has officially notified the member states of the illegality of shipping in the territorial sea of Abkhazia, Georgia without the consent of the Georgian authorities and of possible sanctions from the Georgian side in case of such illegal shipping," the statement says.

The Note sent in March concerned the inadmissibility of shipping of foreign vessels in the Territorial waters on the segment of Abkhazia.

"The Note indicates that Abkhazia is an integral part of Georgia, whichh is presently occupied by the Russian Federation," the Ministry explains. "Territorial integrity of Georgia is recognized by the international community and therefore, any attempt of illegal shipping to Abkhazia, Georgia is considered as a breach of the basic norms and principles of international law", it adds.

The Note also makes a reference to the domestic legislation of Georgia, in particular, it emphasizes that in compliance with the Georgian Constitution, Georgian higher state bodies have the exclusive competence to administer the status and protection of territorial waters. Besides, pursuant to the Law of Georgia on the Maritime Space of Georgia, the outer limit of Georgian territorial sea is the State Border of Georgia and therefore, any vessel crossing or attempting to cross the state border of Georgia without passing through the border checkpoint shall be considered as a violator of the state border of Georgia and shall be subject to respective sanctions.






Thats an Dialog i made today.

Reality:

I: Hello Timur, blessed eastern and where is the ship? does it still come this week?, please send me E mail communication from freight-carrier to my account.
Timur: Blessed eastern, it is right now in front of Varna and will be in about four days on our coast.
I: Send me please the correspondence between the Turks and you.
Timur: OK, how much you have sent?
I: The customers should get three packages with good products from Switzerland, the wooden boxes are also from the old kind and, by the way, you know the Georgians a big success have celebrated?
Timur: Have they overthrown there president?
I: No, the international ship organisation has written a letter to the Georgians and celebrates a big victory. Supposedly the international ship organisation to Georgians, have confirmed that Abkhazia a part of Georgia and the Russians do occupy Abkhazia, therefore Russia an occupying power is.
Timur: This is nothing new
I: Yes and this big success will have the result no more ships will come to Abkhazia.
Timur: Nevertheless, this is not new, nevertheless, the Georgians already have since 1996 thus laws against us and, nevertheless, many private ships go to our harbours and care not much about it.
I: Yes, now I am in perfect fear, this letter will probably admit no more trade and the end of our "Seperatism". So in two days is the ship there? does the captain hand over my product to the duty or do I wait only again three days after your petrol have unloaded?
Timur: No if the captain wants to see these B/L we make it
I: OK

Dienstag, 16. März 2010

http://thefastertimes.com/foreignpolicy/2010/03/16/economic-cooperations-poor-track-record/

http://thefastertimes.com/foreignpolicy/2010/03/16/economic-cooperations-poor-track-record/

FOREIGN POLICY
Economic Cooperation’s Poor Track Record

MARCH 16, 2010LINCOLN A. MITCHELL
It seems as if whenever there is a disputed territory or ethnic conflict, regardless of where, the strategy of pursuing economic cooperation to ameliorate political and ethnic tension is enthusiastically pursued by foreign governments and international organizations. The rationale behind this is hard to question because Palestinians and Israelis, ethnic and Abkhaz and ethnic Georgians, Armenians and Turks and other similar pairings all value the opportunity to make money and do business. This is also approach is also consistent with the post-Cold War global consensus in Washington and elsewhere that markets solve all problems.

The reality that these types of programs have rarely had a significant impact on resolving territorial disputes has not appeared to daunt proponents of the shared economic venture as path to peace approach. These programs have generally had a marginal effect as conflicts have either endured in spite of these programs, or more frequently these programs have failed to get off the ground because the conflict and rancor between the groups. It is clear that, for example, joint Palestinian-Israeli tourism ventures could generate needed income, or cooperation liberalized trade zones involving Armenia, Azerbaijan and Nagorno-Karabakh would help the economy of the South Caucasus, but even though the west supports programs to do these types of things, the underlying problems are more enduring. The China-Taiwan case is an interesting example of a conflict where trade has expanded substantially in recent years, but the tensions between the two polities remains quite strong with both sides retaining strong militaries and the threat of war breaking out no less significant, despite the economic ties.

Economic ties have played in a role in promoting peace and reducing tensions, but those ties are often between two states that do not have a territorial dispute or history of ethnic tension. For example, the increasing economic ties between China and the U.S. in the last few decades, or even between Russia and western Europe today have had this effect, but those are significantly different kinds of cases.

There are powerful incentives for doing economic cooperation type projects: the logic behind these projects is strong; while they rarely succeed they also very rarely make things worse; and perhaps most importantly, they are always of interest to funders.

The reason resolving territorial disputes and ethnic tension through economic cooperation has not worked is that this approach addresses the problem without paying sufficient attention to the causes. The lack of economic cooperation is due to the same tensions and conflicts which are driving people apart in the first place. Prejudice, civil wars, declaring independence and fighting over land are often bad economic decisions, but they endure because the tensions behind them are real. Ignoring this and simply urging better economic cooperation as some kind of magic elixir is like trying to fix a broken leg by suggesting the patient go jogging. If the patient could jog, or the two sides could meaningfully collaborate on economic projects, the problem would not exist in the first place. Evidence from recent years has shown that in these types of cases the logic of the market does not always triumph, and that even when it does, there are rarely political spillover effects.

Freitag, 12. März 2010


Роль победителя?

Владислав Ардзинба
08.03.2010 18:07
Сергей Маркедонов
ВЗГЛЯД ИЗ МОСКВЫ---4 марта 2010 года в Москве скончался Владислав Ардзинба. Сегодня трудно представить себе, чтобы об этом человеке оставившим глубокий след в новейшей истории Кавказа, говорили объективно и беспристрастно. И дело здесь не только в том, что наши знания о биографии этого человека без полноценного доступа к архивным документам будут относительны и фрагментарны.

Владислав Ардзинба оказался в самом центре сложнейшего процесса судорожного распада СССР и связанных с ним рождения новых наций-государств, межэтнических конфликтов, роста насилия и агрессии. В этих крайне противоречивых событиях было трудно, и, наверное, почти невозможно всегда удерживаться в рамках простой человеческой порядочности и твердых принципов.

Конец 1980-х - начала 1990-х годов выдвинул на авансцену плеяду неординарных людей, которые совсем не походили на старцев из Политбюро. Многие из них были блестящими ораторами, прекрасно образованными, знающими иностранные языки, готовыми к полемике и жесткой идеологической борьбе, претендовавшими на роль «отцов нации». Но в то же время людей, склонных к масштабным авантюрам, популизму вождизму и не слишком ценивших простую человеческую жизнь. Вместо «пролетарского интернационализма» они выбрали своим знаменем, и если угодно «символом веры» этнический национализм. Эта «новая волна» политиков страстно боролась за свободу и права. Только проблема заключалась в том, что правам человека и гражданина они предпочитали права этносов, наций и государств. А из всех видов частной собственности им милее всего была этническая собственность на землю. К сожалению, увлечение коллективными правами, как правило, чревато конфликтами между разными социальными группами, в которых трудно найти победителей. Звиад Гамсахурдиа, Абульфаз Эльчибей, Левон Тер-Петросян, Витаутас Ландсбергис, Юрий Мешков, Джохар Дудаев. В этом ряду свое достойное место занимает и Владислав Ардзинба. Человек, сделавший себя сам и прошедший путь от скромного научного сотрудника до президента непризнанной республики, дождавшегося, впрочем, начала ее международной легитимации. В отличие же от многих перечисленных выше представителей когорты постсоветских «национал-демократов» Ардзинба не был свергнут или отстранен от власти. Он оставил свой пост по болезни и еще при жизни увидел реализацию задуманного на закате советской эпохи.

Представители абхазской политической и интеллектуальной элиты уже сравнивают его роль с ролью Гарибальди для итальянцев, Уоллесом для шотландцев и Пилсудского для поляков. Там ему уготована роль «отца-основателя» абхазского независимого государства, ее исторического символа. В Грузии же фигура Ардзинбы воспринимается совсем с другим знаком. Для многих тысяч грузин именно он стал символом вынужденного изгнания, прощания с родиной, могилами предков.

Был ли Владислав Ардзинба победителем? С одной стороны, по каким-то формальным критериям, да. Он одержал верх над «малой империей», как он вслед за Андреем Сахаровым называл Грузию. Он возглавил Абхазию без грузин, республику, где конституционно закреплено эксклюзивное право абхазов на президентство. В итоге многолетняя справедливая борьба абхазов против дискриминации закончилась новой дискриминацией. Теперь уже с их стороны. Но дало ли это абхазам их политическая эксклюзивность социальное благополучие, экономическое процветание? Весь годовой бюджет Абхазии равен сумме, которую Россия в нынешнем году хочет потратить на один энергообъект на Кубани. Освобожденная от грузинской зависимости Абхазия с каждым днем все больше и больше зависит от военно-политических интересов России. И эти многочисленные проблемы - также следствие победы ныне покойного лидера. Впрочем, не только победы, но и националистического выбора, сделанного ведущими интеллектуалами СССР «времени упадка».





Role of the winner?

Vladislav Ardzinba
3/8/2010 18:07
Sergey Markedonov
The SIGHT FROM Moscow - in Moscow has died - 4th March, 2010 Vladislav Ardzinba. Today it is difficult to imagine, that about this person its possible to talk objectively and impartially. Also there is no way to work throw his biography without high-grade access to archival documents.

Vladislav Ardzinba has appeared in the centre of the most complicated process of the disintegration of the USSR and connected with birth of the new nations-states, interethnic conflicts, violence and aggression. In these extremely inconsistent events it was difficult, and, probably, almost impossible to be kept in frameworks of simple human decency and firm principles.

The end 1980 - the beginnings of 1990th years has put forward a huge amount of not ordinary people which no body could compare with this all aged men from the Political bureau of those days. Many of them were brilliant orators perfectly formed, knowing foreign languages, ready for polemic and rigid ideological struggle, applying for a role of "fathers of the nation». But at the same time a huge part of this people inclined to make adventures, populism and even forget about the simple human life. Instead of «proletarian internationalism» they have chosen the banner of ethnic nationalism. This «new wave» politicians passionely struggled for freedom and the rights of there people. Unfortunately, collective rights, as a rule, is fraught with conflicts between different social groups in which it is difficult to find winners. Zviad Gamsahurdia, Abulfaz Elchibej, Levon Rubbed-petrosjan, Vitautas Landsbergis, Jury Meshkov, Dzhohar Dudaev. In it also Vladislav Ardzinba belong. The person who has made from normal scientific employee to the president of unrecognized republic. In difference from many listed above representatives of a cohort of Post-Soviet "national democrats" Ardzinba was not will to dethrone of the power. He left the post through illness and still during lifetime has seen decline of the post- Soviet epoch.

Representatives of the Abkhazian political and intellectual elite already compare its role to Garibaldi's role for Italians, Wallace for Scots and Pilsudsky for Poles. There to it the role of "founding father" of the Abkhazian independent state, its historical symbol he is. In Georgia the figure of Ardzinby is absolutely with other sign. For many thousand Georgian he is a symbol of the exile, farewell to the native land, ancestors-grave.

Whether was Vladislav Ardzinba the winner? On the one hand, by any formal criteria, yes. He has won over the «small empire» as Andrey Saharov named Georgia. He has made Abkhazia without Georgian-political participation, republic where writen in the constitution only exclusive an ethnic Abkhaz can be president. As a result for long-term fair struggle against discrimination ended with new discrimination. This time, from their (ethnic Abkhaz) party. But whether has given this the people of Abkhazia their political social well-being, economic prosperity? The annual budget of Abkhazia is equal to the ammount which Russia this year wishes to spend for one power object on the Kuban (Krasnodar-Area). Abkhazia released from the Georgian dependence, gets every day military-political interests of Russia more and more. And these numerous figures - also a victory consequence of the 2008 war made him to an old leader. However, not only victories, but also the nationalist choice made leading intellectuals of the USSR to "past-time».

Donnerstag, 25. Februar 2010

Happy New Year

There we go... Happy new Year :-) , I am back from longer vacation, since last mail a new, old president was chosen, a new Prime Minister was named and also the economy did move on....

Now, after many talks outside Abkhazia, i was often asked about 12`th questions again and again. To show them in here... realy makes sence, i hope it explain a bit about the Country.

Here they are...


1`st Is Abkhazia a part of Russia now?, also in economics?.

A: Abkhazia since August, 2008 even more depending on Russia than earlier. However, this is a natural and in my opinion also positive development of the Abkhasian economy. One had to look the Country 15 years ago, as the respected gross national product of Abkhazia probably 1/XX of today was. If economy was made, it was an absolute smuggler economy and every real economic activity was excluded by the closed borders to Russia and Georgia. In the years 1995-2001 Russia and his economy has played little role for the abkhazian economy. Products and services were introduced from Georgia or Turkey to Abkhazia and vice versa. The economic dependence started only by the politics of the opener borders through Russia since 2001 and the strong fight against smuggler groups by Georgia, which did "act" on the Georgian-Abkhasian border. The Main Force of russian Economic influence in Abkhazia are this might of millions of tourists since 2001 and also offering of services and import of goods to Abkhazia. However, the balance of trade deficit is clear on the side of Russia. The border to Georgia is actual very closed. The export of Abkhasian goods to Turkey are mostly stoped because of the attacks of the Georgian coastguard on turkish vessels. This promotes even more the one-sided economic dependence on Russia which the president of Georgia seems to support.

2`nd Question. Is there any influence of Georgia in Abkhazia, according to international Law, Abkhazia is part of the georgian State and georgian law dont accept economic activity?

Under international law this might be right, nevertheless, de facto this law is not in force. Moral question is quite easy to answer, for me, and the economy is well even with out Georgia. Few States did accept the Independence of Abkhazia and the most important seems to be the today population of Abkhazia which strongly believe it needs to be not part of any georgian statehood.

Besides I strongly believe that economy needs realities and not dreaming . So what brings a Georgian law in Abkhazia if this law no organs has to effect it on the ground. Of course there are over and over again cases of confiscated Turkish "blockade breakers" by Georgian forces in the black sea or the arrest of mostly visitors from Abkhazia in Georgian because of border crimes. However, nevertheless, in most cases the Georgian public prosecutors have no ground to work against foreigners in Abkhazia. There are no Georgian policemen in Abkhazia and on the other hand kidnapping of freighters in international water is quite clearly a case of piracy even if this is made by state organs. On the other hand the georgians are pritty weak, thats completely clear. I do have doubt if any western company get problems by Georgian court outside Georgia, even if these companies located in EC. In Germany, Switzerland or Holland the constitution would hardly admit such a thing like „deocopation-crime“. The georgian law on Abkhazia was even criticised by the UN authorities and for sure hardly Correspondent with the European convention on human rights.

If a woman is taken from Germany to Iran only because it is searched there because of adultery, the german court would be punished by constition. In the western legal traditions there is not such a stuff like De-occupation crime. According to Georgian law every inhabitant of Abkhazia has to be arrested, if he without Georgian approval the border of Abkhazia to Russia passed. Abkhazia must be completely bolted, therefore a lot of inhabitants of Abkhazia should face a Georgian jail, because of this "injured" Georgian laws.

But on the other hand that "junk in paper" not realy creats much concerns in Abkhazia. Georgia does not have the possibilities to prevent economy in Abkhazia. Most commercial-competent in Abkhazia are citizens of the Russian federation or Turkey and they know the danger of Georgia and never visit therefore this Georgian Republic.


3`rd Question: Are there any possibilities of a new War between Georgia and Abkhazia?

A: No, during the next years and maybe decades a war between Abkhazia and Georgia cannot take place any more. The reason are not, however, the European observers on the borders but the russian defence policy. The troops of Abkhazia and the army of Georgia are separated by buffer zones, the Russian border guards are between both parties and guarantees the security of Abkhazia. Every attack on Abkhazia would lead as a reaction to a counterblow from Russia on Georgia. Therefore it could lead only to a short war between Russia and Georgia and mostly on the territory of Georgia, however, between Abkhasian troops and Georgian forces there is no chance for any battle.

The realistic possibilities of the Georgians is limited to some old combat helicopter, infantry and a few heavy weapons.


4`th Question: How do you sent money to Abkhazia?, Abkhasian banks are not connected to the international banking system.

A: Yes, Abkhasian banks are not connected directly to the international banking system, however, here they use russian proxy banks. The money is sent therefore only to a bank in Russia and from there (the Abkhasian bank has there an account) the money is mostly sent for 1% to Abkhazia.

Technically the bank in Abkhazia pays to them the amount if they see the Money on there russian account.

The usual way by the central banks is not working, Abkhazia is nor integrated therefore in world nor russian banking system completely.

Cash is the main way from and to Abkhazia,besides there are cash transfer systems like MINOG also provide services.


5`th Question: Is it possible to buy real estate in Abkhazia ?

No, in Abkhazia the purchase is forbidden by law, only leases are possible. However, flats and houses can be bought by juridical ones, however, no private people and just citizens of Abkhazia or those who are resident in Abkhazia. Again, Real estate can not be acquired by marriage or non abkhasian person.

Most fraud happens with this legal lack of clarity, with the time the Abkhasian legislation will probably change, however, just by russian pressure. It is to be expected the Russian law soon will be copied by Abkhazia and converted in to clarity.


6`th Question: if there is enough infrastructure in Abkhazia?

No, Abkhazia is completely underdeveloped. There is no working civil airport in Abkhazia, no efficient road-system or a railway with modern railway stations.

The harbours do have very tinny storage, almost no possibilities for cargo or loading, electricity is very cheap, nevertheless there are not enough Network for industrial electricity. Every industry already fails because of the attempt to get enough electricity and water from pipe.

Here a lot of work is to be made and I expect a lot of investments in to the infrastructure, not only motorway but also in the power supply lines and in the water supply. The airport should be opened during the next months and the harbours repair themselves.


7`th Question: Is there is a functioning court system in Abkhazia. Are investments protected?

A: No


8`th Question: Can the value added tax taken back for a cargo delivery to Abkhazia?

A: For Imports from Russia this practise is made. Turkish imports to Abkhazia are refunded with the note (Georgia).

Stamps of the Abkhasian custom office are valued in Turkey as Georgian ones. VAT can taken back.


9`th Question: By which currency trade in Abkhazia are made?

Can euros be traded?

A: The official currency in Abkhazia is the Russian rouble. Almost all shops in Abkhazia take the rouble. However, ships from Turkey are paid with USD and are traded later then to rouble.

Euros used in Abkhazia only as a reserve currency. Money is converted in to euros, however, there is not an active role in trading.

Turkish lira, georgian Lari and other regional currencies are not traded in Abkhazia.

USD and euro are traded in bad prices, more bad as in Sochi. Every business activity is recommended in russian rouble.


10`th Question: Is the security situation stable in Abkhazia? robbery? thefting?

A: There are some areas in Abkhazia a visitor should avoid.

The border region to Georgia is completely contaminated by bandits, already at Soviet times the population there organised crime.

Though by the Russian border troops the situation has improved, nevertheless, i do advise not to visit this border-region.

The security situation in the capital and in the other towns is the same dangerous, relatively like Varna in Bulgaria or Nizza in France.

Abkhazia is like every country after a war, poor and the youth often with out jobs or much money.

The police forces are corrupted and the clan economy hardly admits positive police work. Though raids are not in the agenda, however, i did see them, but, theft and burglary is with the exception the biggest problem in Abkhazia. I do advise not to show bigger wealth in Abkhazia and also no walks at night in unguarded areas or places with out crowd.

The inhabitants of Abkhazia are very hospitable and the advice should be taken by these people.

These people very often wonderfully care for guests.


11`th Question: Would be a NATO Georgia, changing the power in Abkhazia? does the European Union play a role in Abkhazia?

A: Georgia as a member of Nato would completely harden the fronts, but change nothing in the structures . Neither economically nor politically and also not militarily this would bring a change.

Russia as a protector of Abkhazia would simply allow to guarantee the troops in the country and therefore the security of the state. The EU exactly like NATO play no role in the political life in Abkhazia. There are no friends of these both organisations, nor any influence.


12`th Question: Over and over again we read about human and economic contacts between Georgia and Abkhazia, is there readiness of the Abkhasian and Georgian economy?

A: The Georgian laws forbid every trade with Abkhazia, in this respect there are virtually no relations between Georgia and Abkhazia more. The readiness is for sure there, certainly from both sides and for both it would bring only advantages. I do not think from the Abkhasian political side an economic nearness to Georgia not wanted. However, without interstate contracts such a „communication“ brings again a smuggler economy like it was after the war 1992-1993





Sonntag, 25. Oktober 2009

Выпуск №509-510-511-512-513
23 октября 2009 г. - пятница

ГОСБЮДЖЕТ АБХАЗИИ НА 2010 ГОД СОСТАВИТ ПОЧТИ 4 МИЛЛИАРДА РУБЛЕЙ

23 октября. Кабинет министров одобрил проект Государственного бюджета Республики Абхазия на 2010 год. По словам вице-премьера, министра финансов Беслана Кубрава, представлявшего сегодня на заседании правительства проект, госбюджет на 2010 год составляет как по доходам, так и по расходам 3,875 млрд. руб. «Это сбалансированный бюджет, подготовленный на основе показателей Индикативного плана социально-экономического развития республики», - отметил он.

Доходы от государственных и коммерческих предприятий и организаций планируются в сумме 895,4 млн. рублей, в том числе: налог на прибыль Ц 297,5 миллионов рублей; налог на добавленную стоимость Ц 528,26 миллионов рублей; акцизы Ц 59,5 миллионов рублей; налог на имущество Ц 10,8 миллионов рублей, поступления от других налогов и сборов - 2,98 млрд. руб.

«Собственные доходы государства в 2010 г составят 1,935 млрд. руб., что на 400 млн. руб. больше, чем в этом году», - уточнил Кубрава.

Расходы на финансирование народного хозяйства в 2010 г. составят 1,244 млрд. рублей, в том числе: на ремонтно-восстановительные работы Ц 325,7 млн. рублей; на восстановление и развитие сельского хозяйства Ц 32,6 млн. рублей; на благоустройство районов и г. Сухум, ремонт дорог местного значения Ц 150,4 млн. рублей; на развитие лесной отрасли Ц 2,98 млн.

Ассигнования на социально-культурные мероприятия в следующем году составят 803,5 млн. руб., на науку - 62,1 млн. руб., на содержание СМИ - 47,7 млн. руб.
На финансирование органов государственной власти планируется выделить 68,9 млн. руб.; на содержание органов государственного управления Ц 275,8 млн. руб.; на правоохранительные органы, суды и органы прокуратуры Ц 814,7 млн. рублей.

Республиканский бюджет на 2010 год по доходам составит 3,45 млрд. руб. и по расходам - 3,36 млрд. руб. «Из суммы доходов республиканского бюджета в виде субвенций планируется передать в бюджеты Ткуарчалского района 4 млн. руб. и Галского района Ц 4,5 млн. руб.», - уточнил Б. Кубрава.

Фонд заработной платы на 2010 год составит 1,253 млрд. рублей.

В первую очередь подлежат финансированию расходы на выплату зарплаты работников бюджетной сферы и учителям сельских школ, выплата пособий, питание в бюджетных учреждениях здравоохранения, образования и спорта, расходы минобороны, СГБ, правоохранительных органов, - отметил министр финансов.

«Мы имеем документ, который реально отражает нашу сегодняшнюю экономическую жизнь и ее перспективы», - сказал премьер-министр Александр Анкваб о проекте бюджета страны на следующий год. - За последние годы мы выстроили рабочую систему и ее надо развивать. Мы не намерены реагировать на экономически необоснованные предложения и критику. Мы должны уверенно проводить свою линию по развитию экономики страны и решению социальных вопросов».

По словам главы правительства, «Абхазия уже находится в таком состоянии, когда готова платить по кредитам». «С нами будут разговаривать финансисты, банкиры; нам доверяют и готовы предоставлять кредиты, которые мы будем направлять на развитие сельского хозяйства, транспорта, небольших предприятий», - подчеркнул он.

Первый вице-премьер Леонид Лакербая отметил социальную ориентированность представленного проекта госбюджета. «Как бы нас не критиковали, хочу отметить, что наш бюджет социально ориентирован. За последние несколько лет мы значительно увеличили размеры многих пособий; стали платить пособия тем, кто раньше вообще ничего не получал. Мы взяли на себя осуществление тех программ, которые раньше вела миссия МККК», - сказал он.

Законопроект «О Государственном бюджете РА на 2010г.» будет представлен на рассмотрение президенту республики.


Release №509-510-511-512-513 October, 23rd, 2009 - Friday THE STATE BUDGET OF ABKHAZIA FOR 2010 WILL MAKE ALMOST 4 BILLION ROUBLES On October, 23rd. The cabinet has approved the project of the State budget of the Republic of Abkhazia for 2010. According to the vice-premier, the Minister of Finance Beslan Kubrava representing today`s session of the government the project, state budget for 2010 makes both under incomes, and under expenses of 3,875 billion rbl. «It is the balanced budget prepared on the basis of indicators of the Indicative plan of social and economic development of the republic», - he has noted. Incomes of the state and commercial enterprises and the organisations are planned with the sum of 895,4 million roubles, including: profit tax of 297,5 million roubles; value-added tax of 528,26 million roubles; others of 59,5 million roubles; the tax of property of 10,8 million roubles, receipts from other taxes and tax collections - 2,98 billion rbl. Own incomes of the state in 2010 will make 1,935 billion rbl. thats 400 million rbl. more than this year, has told Kubrava. Expenses on national economy financing in 2010 will make 1,244 billion roubles, including: on damage control 325,7 million roubles; on restoration and development of agriculture 32,6 million roubles; on accomplishment of areas and Sukhum, repair of local roads 150,4 million roubles; on development of wood branch of 2,98 million Assignments for welfare actions next year will make 803,5 million rbl., on science - 62,1 million rbl., on the maintenance of mass-media 47,7 million rbl. For financing of public authorities it is planned to allocate 68,9 million rbl.; on the maintenance of state bodies of 275,8 million rbl.; on law enforcement bodies, courts and bodies of Office of Public Prosecutor of 814,7 million roubles. The republican budget for 2010 incomes will make 3,45 billion rbl. and under expenses - 3,36 billion rbl. «of that sum of incomes of the republican budget in the form of subventions is planned to transfer budgets of Tkuarchalsky area of 4 million rbl. and Galsky area of 4,5 million rbl.», - has told B.Kubrava. The wages fund for 2010 will make 1,253 billion roubles. First of all expenses on payment of the salary of workers of budgetary sphere and to teachers of rural schools are subject to financing, payment of grants, a food in budgetary establishments of public health services, formation and sports, expenses of the Minister of Defence, law enforcement bodies, - the Minister of Finance noted. «We have the document which really reflects our today's economic life and its prospects», - prime minister Alexander Ankvab has told about the project of the budget of the country next year. - during the last years we have built working systems and it should be developed. We do not intend to react to economically unreasonable . We should spend confidently the line on development of a national economy and the decision of social problems ». According to the head of the government, «Abkhazia already is in such condition when it is ready to pay loans".

«Financiers, bankers will talk To us; with trust and are ready to give loans which we will direct on development of agriculture, transport, the small enterprises», - he has underlined.

The first vice-premier Leonid Lakerbaja discribed the presented project of the state budget. «As though us didn't criticise, I wish to notice that our budget is socially focused. For the last years we have considerably increased the sizes of many grants; grants began to pay in that who in general received earlier nothing. We have incurred realisation of those programs which were conducted earlier by missions», - he has told. The bill «About the State budget of 2010.» It will be submitted to consideration to the president of republic.

Freitag, 9. Oktober 2009

ABKHAZIAN BUSINESS FORUM AND PRICES








В СУХУМЕ ПРОХОДИТ АБХАЗСКИЙ ДЕЛОВОЙ ФОРУМ.

9 октября. В Сухуме проходит Абхазский деловой форум. Его цель - содействовать формированию в республике благоприятного инвестиционного климата и укреплению российско-абхазских интеграционных процессов.

В форуме участвуют до 150 человек. Это представители руководства Республики Абхазия, правительства РФ, академик РАН, директор Института новой экономики Государственного университета управления Сергей Глазьев. Форум проводится по инициативе Абхазского филиала Фонда развития "Институт евразийских исследований" и при поддержке правительства Республики Абхазия.

К участникам форума с приветствием обратился президент Сергей Багапш. По его словам, "проведение форума с участием столь авторитетных экспертов является одним из важнейших событий в жизни республики".

"Убежден, что Абхазский деловой форум станет той дискуссионной площадкой, где будут обсуждаться важнейшие проблемы социально-экономического развития нашей страны", - сказал Багапш. Глава республики рассчитывает, что "предложения и рекомендации, выработанные в ходе форума, найдут свое применение на практике, будут способствовать динамичному развитию экономики Абхазии и формированию благоприятного инвестиционного климата".

IN SUKHUM TAKES PLACE THE ABKHAZIAN BUSINESS FORUM. On October, 9th. In Sukhum takes place the Abkhazian business forum. Its purpose - to promote a formation for the republic to creat a favorable investment climate and to strengthening the Russian-Abkhazian integration processes. In this forum do participate up to 150 persons. They are representatives of Economy of Abkhazia, Members of the government of the Russian Federation, academicians of the Russian Academy of Sciences, the director of Institute of new economy of the State university Sergey Glazyev. The forum was made by the initiative of the Abkhazian branch of the Fund of development "Institute of the Euroasian researches" and with support of the government of Abkhazia. President Sergey Bagapsh has addressed. As he said, "carrying out of a forum with participation of so authoritative experts is one of the major events in a republic life". "It is convinced that the Abkhazian business forum becomes that debatable platform where the major problems of social and economic development of our country" will be discussed, - Bagapsh has told. The head of republic counts that "offers and the recommendations developed during a forum, will find the application in practice, will promote dynamical development of economy of Abkhazia and formation of a favorable investment climate".

ВЛАДИМИР ПУТИН ПОЖЕЛАЛ УЧАСТНИКАМ И ГОСТЯМ АБХАЗСКОГО ДЕЛОВОГО ФОРУМА ПЛОДОТВОРНОЙ И КОНСТРУКТИВНОЙ РАБОТЫ.

9 октября. Абхазский Деловой форум, начавший работу в пятницу в Сухуме, предоставляет хорошую возможность повысить инвестиционную привлекательность региона, говорится в приветствии премьер-министра России Владимира Путина участникам форума. Приветствие зачитал замглавы министерства экономического развития РФ Андрей Слепнев.

"С момента признания независимости Абхазии в республике полным ходом идут процессы становления и укрепления государственности, формирование институтов гражданского общества, намечаются позитивные изменения в экономике и социальной сфере, совершенствуется транспортная инфраструктура", - говорится в приветствии главы правительства России.

В нем также отмечается, что «Деловой форум, объединивший представителей органов государственной власти, деловых кругов, экспертного сообщества из многих государств, предоставляет хорошую возможность обсудить широкий спектр проблем, связанных со всесторонним развитием молодого государства, его вовлечением в мировую экономику, с повышением инвестиционной привлекательности региона».

Форум станет важным событием в деловой и общественной жизни Абхазии, значимой вехой в развитии взаимовыгодного партнерского взаимодействия Абхазии, как с Россией, так и с другими государствами, - говорится в приветствии.

Путин пожелал участникам и гостям Абхазского Делового форума плодотворной и конструктивной работы.


VLADIMIR PUTIN HAS WISHED PARTICIPANTS AND VISITORS OF THE ABKHAZIAN BUSINESS FORUM A FRUITFUL AND CONSTRUCTIVE WORK. On October, 9th. The Abkhazian Business forum did start work on Friday in Sukhum, gives good possibility to raise investment appeals for the region, is told in a greeting of the prime minister of Russia Vladimir Putin to participants of the forum. A greeting Andrey Slepnev did read the ministries of economic development of the Russian Federation note. "From the moment of the recognition of independence of Abkhazia, the republic with full speed made processes of formation and statehood strengthening, formation of institutes of a civil society, positive changes in economy and social sphere are outlined, the transport infrastructure" is improved, - told in that greeting the head of the government of Russia. In it also it is noticed that «the Business forum which has united representatives of public authorities, business circles, expert community from many states, gives good possibility to discuss a wide spectrum of the problems connected with an all-around development of the young state, its involving in economic, with increase of investment appeals of the region». The forum becomes the important event in a business and public life of Abkhazia, a significant mark in development of mutually advantageous partner interaction of Abkhazia, both with Russia, and with other states, - is told in a greeting. Putin has wished participants and visitors of the Abkhazian Business forum a fruitful and constructive work.


What Does the Psychology of such Meetings Mean For Economy? On average over next 10 years, how much do you expect the value of Economy to change each year? The average answer among the people inside the Economy Forum will say this increase of XY%. And if You ask how much? you get the median response — with half above, half below — 20 percent next year`s. That sounds rather like bubble thinking. Its worth noting a few things about surveys in general, and this survey in particular: Forecasting Failure: Humans are especially bad at forecasting the future. Not only do they lack the skill set to rationally think about the factors impacting prices, they tend to engage in all manner of error-laden, faulty thinking Objectivity: Asking CIS Buisness-Guys about economy is a kin to asking a new car buyer about the future reliability of their vehicles as they drive from the dealer. They sure hope its reliable, just as buyers hope prices don’t go down. Failures: Trying to discern future economy movements based on surveys of recent buyers (property) is a fatally flawed endeavor. The 2008 Case survey had an average expected yearly increase in home values of 30% a year at a time when prices were falling 30% per year.

ПРОЖИТОЧНЫЙ МИНИМУМ НА ОДНОГО ТРУДОСПОСОБНОГО ЖИТЕЛЯ В АБХАЗИИ СОСТАВЛЯЕТ 3943,6 РУБ.

9 октября. По данным на 1 октября 2009 г. стоимость прожиточного минимума на одного трудоспособного жителя составила 3 943,6 руб., в том числе: продовольственных товаров Ц 2 697,4 руб., непродовольственных товаров - 772,9руб., платных услуг, налогов и обязательных платежей - 473,3 руб.

Величина прожиточного минимума по сравнению с соответствующим периодом прошлого года увеличилась на 12,7 %.

Сводный индекс потребительских цен и тарифов на товары и платные услуги населению за сентябрь 2009г. составил 108 %, в том числе на продовольственные товары - 110,6%, непродовольственные товары - 112,3%, платные услуги населению - 104,9%.

Индекс потребительских цен и тарифов на товары и платные услуги по сравнению с соответствующим периодом прошлого года составил 109 %, в том числе на продовольственные товары - 113,3 %, непродовольственные товары - 106,1%, платные услуги населению Ц 107,4 %.

Об этом «Апсныпресс» сообщили в Управлении государственной статистики.


THE LIVING WAGE ON ONE INHABITANT IN ABKHAZIA MAKES 3943,6 RBL. On October, 9th. By data for October, 1st, 2009 living wage cost on one body inhabitant has made 3 943,6 rbl., including: articles of food 2 697,4 rbl., NRO`s - 772,9руб., paid services, taxes and obligatory payments - 473,3 rbl. The living wage size in comparison with the corresponding period of last year has increased by 12,7 %. Summary consumer price index and tariffs for the goods and paid services to the population for September 2009. Has made 108 %, including on articles of food - 110,6 %, NRO`s - 112,3 %, paid services to the population - 104,9 %. The consumer price index and tariffs for the goods and paid services in comparison with the corresponding period of last year has made 109 %, including on articles of food - 113,3 %, NRO`s - 106,1 %, paid services to population of 107,4 %. On this "Apsnypress" was informed by the Management of the state statistics.

Now the first time i will be able to compared my Fenia indices to the state data of the statistical office of Abkhazia. And just on single little things our results do not agree. It is for sure sad.. that the costs of petrol are measured, why this is so? I do not know this, maybe Dull? somebody must pay for a tank filling and how the development of prices is, in a country hardly somebody comes without car from A to B. Besides I would like to come on the price trend on the first quarter 08 to the first quarter 09... So in a time when aerial war was over the sky of Abkhazia, constant provocations on the border to Georgia and bomb attacks seems to had produce a deflationary decline measured by me. This is not to be compared to the price trend in the Russian federation if the figures are compared by the state authority one could have the impression the simply Russian data were copied. The special development does not carry here the statistics. Besides my thought of a deflation is over, probably. Though the prices in the first quarter created this supposition that such might be in the rouble area, a deflation , nevertheless this development was removed by a strong decay of the Russian currency to almost all other currencies. So we might had in Abkhazia only because of the crisis (Georgia vs Abkhazia) before the war 2008 a regional picture, however, of course very interesting, and i observed that.





Freitag, 2. Oktober 2009

EU Report



Artikelbild
Ban on driving for tank is valid on the highway of Tiflis to the border to Sout Ossetia which president Michail Saakashwili of Georgia opened recently. In August, 2008 nobody did accept this Eu investigation report Georgia did start war after provocations 30th of September, 2009 Commission conctradicts Saakashwili, however, criticises also Russia - Switzerland/Belgium "The motives for the attack remain unfathomable, in the light of that what must have known Saakaschwili." Thus Ursula Plassnik comments on the central statement of the EU investigation report to the Georgia's war in August, 2008, Wednesday was published. From the Swiss diplomat and approved Caucasus expert Heidi Tagliavini led commission finds out that Georgia has begun the war, has been provoked before, however, from Russia, among the rest, by plentiful issue of Russian passports to inhabitants of the regions of South Ossetia and Abkhazia. The former Austrian foreign minister Plassnik, now women's representative in the foreign ministry and ÖVP-National Assembly representative, belonged to the expert's committee, that Tagliavini has consulted. Other members were Cornelio Sommaruga, ex-president of the international committee of the Red Cross, and Polish ex-foreign minister Adam Rotfeld. With the tip to what president Michail Saakashwili of Georgia "must have known" leads Plassnik in the conversation on the Russian provocations as well as on the explicit warnings from the EU and the USA to react to it not by force. The investigation report contradicts the official Georgian presentation for the war reasons. The assertion, it happend before the invasion of Georgian troops in South Ossetia a "full-scale Russian invasion", could not be proved. The bombardment of the south ossetian capital of Zchinwali at night on 8th of August has not been justified. Tagliavini ascertains: "There was no running military attack of Russia before the beginning of the Georgian operation."

Montag, 21. September 2009

Agriculture

РОССИЯ И АБХАЗИЯ ПОДПИСАЛИ МЕМОРАНДУМ О ВЗАИМОПОНИМАНИИ В ОБЛАСТИ СЕЛЬСКОГО ХОЗЯЙСТВА

21 сентября. /ИТАР-ТАСС/. Министры сельского хозяйства России и Абхазии Елена Скрынник и Юрий Акаба подписали 18 сентября в рамках Инвестиционного форума в Сочи меморандум о взаимопонимании в области сельского хозяйства.
Как сообщила Скрынник, взаимовыгодное сотрудничество между Россией и Абхазией в первую очередь будет осуществляться по таким направлениям АПК, как растениеводство, животноводство, автоматизация агропромышленного производства и переработка сельхозкультур.

По словам министра сельского хозяйства Абхазии, "подписание меморандума является для нас знаковым событием, импульсом к развитию агропромышленного комплекса республики". "Мы сейчас не говорим о каких-то гигантских проектах в сельском хозяйстве, наша задача состоит в том, чтобы создавать мини-предприятия с полным производственным циклом, прежде всего, в животноводстве", - сказал Акаба.

Глава Минсельхоза России добавила, что в рамках сотрудничества с Абхазией "мы будем также обмениваться специалистами, передовыми методами и технологиями, информацией".


RUSSIA AND ABKHAZIA HAVE SIGNED THE MEMORANDUM OF MUTUAL UNDERSTANDING IN THE FIELD OF AGRICULTURE On September, 21st./ИТАР-ТАСС/. Ministers of Agriculture of Russia and Abkhazia Elena Skrynnik and Jury Akaba have signed on September, 18th within the Investment forum in Sochi the memorandum of mutual understanding in the field of agriculture. As has informed Skrynnik, mutually cooperation between Russia and Abkhazia will be carried out first of all in such fields of agrarian and industrial area, as plant growing, animal farming, automation of agroindustrial manufacture and processing of agricultural cultures. According to the Minister of Agriculture of Abkhazia, "memorandum signing is an event, an impulse to development of agriculture in the republic". "We now do not speak about any huge projects in agriculture, our problem consists in creating the minienterprises with a full production cycle, first of all, in animal farming", - has told Aqaba. The head of the Ministry of Agriculture of Russia has added that within the limits of cooperation with Abkhazia "we will exchange also experts, the advanced methods and technologies".



A very interesting meeting between both ministers. No promises were made at this time. I would like to come on some points to the agriculture in Abkhazia. Thus the thesis "cattle production" has arisen in Abkhazia years ago. There were at no time before the Russian conquest any bigger cattle-production in Abkhazia, at least there are no findings or recordings about such a thing. The first recording about the attempt to produce larger amounts of cattle in Abkhazia came from German colonists in late 19 centuries (called Seperatists) but this attempt was very fast stopped by fever illnesses and toxic herbs almost the whole herds from Europe killed under the sky of Abkhaza. Also the Estonians the czar in the end of 19 centuries to Abkhazia expelled, did report about the difficult cattle breeding in the country. Also in newer days, the days of the USSR, there were plannings of the Soviet ministry of agriculture to support the cattle breeding in Abkhazia. Thus vast amounts were sent to Abkhazia to strengthen the cattle breeding, however, after the eradication of most fever illnesses, this project got not lucratively because other factors like toxic grass and land need made problems. So Abkhazia could also never pursue a more actual cattle breeding like the countries of the Baltic States or the Ukraine during late 80`s. During the Soviet Union, agriculture in Abkhazia was dominated by tea, citrus and tobacco production. Following the collapse of the Soviet Union and the Abkhaz/Georgian conflict, tea production dropped by over 80%, the tobacco market collapsed, citrus production and cattle breeding greatly declined.

Current

Current rural livelihood strategies in Abkhazia are dominated by mixed subsistence farming with small elements of cash cropping. Cash for essential items such as manufactured food, clothes, education and medical services is obtained from the sale of cash crops and/or surplus farm production. Less common sources of income include employment, pensions, IDP payments, family remittances and humanitarian aid. Current livelihood strategies are vulnerable to shocks such as plant and livestock disease, bad weather conditions and inadequate nutrition of livestock.

All villages have functioning schools, shops, corn mills and regular electricity supply, but other

infrastructure is in poor condition; water supply systems do not exist or are damaged and only partially function, roads and bridges need repair, river banks are being seriously eroded, factories and farms are derelict. The most serious weaknesses regarding agriculture are the poor condition and lack of availability of farm machinery and the lack of adequate fencing to protect crops from grazing livestock. The level of education and skills in rural areas is high, but there is a need to build farmers’ capacities to identify, develop and apply improved agricultural technologies and to improve the current weak understanding of market economy mechanisms. It was notable that women are more receptive to new ideas, knowledge and skills than men. There are clearly delineated responsibilities between men and women in terms of agricultural production, but most activities are undertaken by both, except where there are physical limitations. Men’s responsibilities are corn, large livestock, firewood and cash crops. Women’s responsibilities are productionof vegetables, poultry, fruit as well as fruit, vegetable and milk processing. Marketing is mainly carried out by women. Natural resources are abundant in Abkhazia and theoretically present no constraint to the expansion or intensification of agriculture. The large amount of abandoned land provides low cost grazing for livestock but is gradually deteriorating and the cost of bringing this land back into cultivation is increasing with time. Agricultural land in Abkhazia is deemed to be the property of the state but able for rent for many years. All rural householders have a garden plot and an area of land for corn production (up to 20% of all Agricultural Land of Abkhazia). Access to land, additional to the garden plot, was closely controlled by the state but did liberalize and grazing livestock are heavily dependent on abandoned or unused land, the rights to which are not explicit. Ninety percent of

households keep cattle, reflecting their significance in the farming system but no large cattle-plant. All farmers also reported keeping both pigs and poultry. Rural employment is low but changing to the better (because of migration).

Pensioners qualify for either Russian pensions or Abkhaz pensions; both of which are paid regularly.

Many Georgian families in Gali qualify for IDP status and receive a monthly payment from the

Georgian government. Borrowing from neighbours or relatives is widespread and loans are used for

purchase of essential foods, agricultural inputs, health costs, education and local ceremonies; no interest is charged. Commercial credit is hardly available; the Abkhaz government provides credit for state farms activities and also for starting up new private sector agricultural enterprises.


Abkhazia is situated on the eastern shores of the Black Sea and comprises a narrow coastal plane which quickly rises into the foothills and peaks of the main Caucasus mountain range; 75% of the land is classified as mountainous or foothills. The State classifies land by altitude (below 100m, 100-250m and above 250m); this appears primarily related to soil fertility- no systematic classification of agro-ecological zones was found. The climate is mainly humid subtropical but more temperate in the high valleys which are sparsely populated. Rainfall is high (1700-1800mm) with peaks of rain in late winter (November December) and early spring (February, March, April). Consequently the agriculture is predominantly rain fed.

Pre-soviet agriculture was dominated by livestock production in the upland areas; the coastal plain was originally wetlands which were drained in the 1930’s during the main period of Soviet collectivization thus substantially increasing the agricultural productivity of the territory. A notable feature is the presence of thermal springs in the coastal plain, which are harnessed for hothouse vegetable production and for health resort tourism. Abkhazia has abundant forests particularly in the higher valleys. During the Soviet period, agriculture in Abkhazia was dominated by tea, citrus (mostly mandarins) and tobacco production. At its peak Abkhazia was supplying 15-20% of the tea demand of the former Soviet Union and peak annual production levels were 110,000 tonnes of tea, 120,000 tonnes of citrus and 14,000 tonnes of tobacco. In addition there were large areas of Tung trees grown for industrial oil production as well as smaller specialised activities comprising chicken breeding, dairy farming, essential oil and silk production. Apart from the state farm sector rural households grew fruit trees, vegetables and hazelnuts and kept small numbers of livestock.

Following the fall of the Soviet Union, state agriculture collapsed due to the loss of support mechanisms and dislocation of markets. Tea production has dropped by over 80% and large areas of tea plantation are abandoned. The tobacco market also collapsed and the crop is now rarely grown, the citrus market has survived the transition but the lack of inputs and destruction during the conflict means that production is a fraction of former levels. The hazelnut crop has become more economically significant especially as a cash crop supporting the livelihoods of individual households. The collapse of the state sector employment followed by the Abkhaz conflict and consequent depopulation has led to a rural economy dominated by household subsistence agriculture in the midst of large areas of abandoned land and plantations.

The farming system is low input low output with a minimal reliance on external inputs. Seeds of

vegetable and corn are saved, virtually no pesticides are applied, livestock graze extensively and are fed corn straw and ground corn in winter. Sowing, weeding and harvesting of corn is mainly by hand. The only external inputs commonly used include Nitrogen fertiliser, fuel and machinery hire for cultivation and veterinary medicines which are mostly applied on a reactive basis. The traditional cash crops (citrus and hazelnut) have established external private sector markets which have evolved following the collapse of the Soviet Union. Firewood for heating and cooking is gathered from local forests where rural inhabitants have established rights of collection.

The availability and condition of machinery is poor and most households hire a tractor and driver to

undertake essential cultivations. Tractors are owned by state farms or by individuals who have somehow acquired ownership; state farms often allow former engineers or drivers to provide machinery services as a self-sustaining business. The low availability of machinery services often result in untimely and inadequate corn cultivations with attendant costs to production.

The seasonality of labour is typical for a single cropping season with peaks relating to planting and

harvesting. The main planting season for corn is April and May, vegetable planting begins earlier in

March, and weeding and fertiliser application takes place in June July and August. The harvesting peak begins with hazelnuts in August, followed by fruits (September, October), corn (October, November) and citrus (November and December). An additional labour demand is for collection of timber, which for most villages studied took place in August/September but occurred in November in two upland villages (Agubedia and Saberio). Timing of labour peaks for men and women are similar, reflecting the considerable sharing of tasks, but the extent of labour peaks tended to be greater for women due to their involvement in vegetable (earlier planting) and fruit (protracted harvesting) production, plus fruit and vegetable preservation. The village of Labra with a farming system oriented to multiple cropping of vegetables exhibited a high constant labour demand.

Cash for the purchase of essential items such as manufactured foodstuffs, clothes and education and

medical services is obtained from the sale of cash crops, i.e. hazelnuts and citrus (N.B. not all households grow these crops) and from the sale of surplus farm production, including dairy products (mainly cheese), meat, vegetables and occasionally corn. Other sources include vegetables as a cash crop, production and sale of honey and the sale of manufactured items such as baskets from wild hazel and brushes from special grasses.

Agricultural based incomes occur in the latter part of the year, usually starting with the hazel harvest in August, followed by corn (if sold) in October/November and citrus in December. Vegetable sales may provide income earlier, but only in villages where vegetables are a significant cash crop (e.g. Labra,Kindgi). While the hazel harvest takes place in August actual sales are spread over 3-4 months to take advantage of rising post harvest prices.

Detailed data on cash incomes was not collected, but some examples are given below:

• Vegetable sales at height of season (2-3 months) can bring in $200 per week – Labra farmer

(cash cropping not surplus sales)

• Plantation of 100 hazel trees provided income of $2000 – Saberio farmer

• Plantation of 50 mandarin trees provides an income of $2000 – Saberio Farmer

Cash income from livestock and dairy products is usually less than the cash crops mentioned here but the regular nature of income from dairy products and the possibility of converting livestock to cash at any time are important factors for household survive.

The main agricultural expenditures occur earlier in the year than incomes are generated particularly

spring cultivation costs which for a typical 1 Ha corn field are $100 for hire of machinery, $50) for fuel and $80 for fertiliser. These demands on the household budget are aggravated by the increasing shortage of home produced products, which occurs from February to June, necessitating additional cash expenditures.

All households with land and animals are liable for local taxes. Land tax (rent) is due both on the

household plot and the corn land; tax levels vary from district to district and according to land use

(household, annual crops, perennial crops etc.). Charges are typically 50 (2$) to 100 (4$) roubles per year per 1000 m2; for example a household with 0.5 Ha of household land and 0.5 Ha of corn land would pay between $25-$45. There are exemptions and reductions for government officials and for the disabled or widowed; enforcement is benign and in bad harvests payments may be reduced, made payable in kind or even waived for poor households. There is also a grazing animal tax of between $2-3 per animal; this is much less easy to enforce than land tax and avoidance is commonplace.

Employment is not a significant aspect of rural livelihood strategies. There are appreciable levels of

employment in a few villages with functioning state farms or with state enterprises such as the Inguri power station but otherwise rural employment levels are limited to the few who work in schools,ambulatories, local government and larger private enterprises. Additional sources of cash income are state pensions, IDP payments, borrowing from neighbours and remittances from families in Sukhum, Gagra,Russia or Georgia.


Gender Issues

There are clearly delineated responsibilities between men and women in terms of agricultural production, but most activities are undertaken by both except where there are physical limitations or in food processing, which women dominate. Men have overall responsibility for corn production, large animal production (buffalo, cattle, pigs), timber collection, cash crops (hazelnut, citrus) and grapes. Women’s main responsibilities are vegetable production, poultry production, non-citrus fruit production, dairy production and fruit and vegetable processing. Marketing is usually carried out by women although decisions about what, when and where to market are taken by men or by men and women together.


Predominantly Women’s

Tasks

Predominantly Men’s Tasks Tasks Undertaken by

Men and Women

Management of Vegetable

Production

Preparation of Dairy Products

Market Trading

Stock keeping Poultry

Vegetable and Fruit processing

Vegetable Seed production

Manufacture of grass brooms

Water collection if necessary

Management of Corn

Production

Soil cultivations

Stock keeping (large animals)

Winter fodder collection and

storage

Fruit (citrus and grapes)

Fruit pruning

Timber collection

Tobacco picking

Basket weaving

Planting corn

Milking

Feeding animals

Planting vegetables

Applying fertiliser

Weeding veg. + corn

Harvesting vegetables,

fruit and corn

Tea cultivation

Hazelnut harvesting

Fruit harvesting

Women tend to work marginally longer hours than men in periods of low agricultural labour demand

(10.7:8.7 hours/day) but at busy periods both work equally long days (11.7h/d). As expected women

devote much more time to reproductive activities (child care, cooking, etc) than men (4.6:1.1 h/d) but both reduce the time devoted to reproductive activities in times of high agricultural labour demand (2.8:0.3 h/d). The contribution of women to productive activities (agriculture, income generation) is significant comprising between 57% and 76% of their working day.


Physical Assets

Physical assets means infrastructure (including the means of production) and communications. All villages studied have a functioning school; some have been rehabilitated by village efforts with or without support from agencies such as UNHCR or the Abkhaz Government, but most schools require further rehabilitation.

For villages situated on, or very close to, the main highway road conditions are adequate. For

villages a significant distance from the M27 the connecting roads are in a poor condition. All villages referred to damage caused by the annual fierce river flooding which undermines road bridges and in some cases is actively eroding cultivatable land.

Telephone communications in villages are every where or nearly and even Internet-connection (LAN). Electricity supply is regular but inadequate or damaged transformers.

Almost all processing factories (except for a few tea factories) and intensive farming units are abandoned and derelict.


Natural Resource Assets

All agricultural land in Abkhazia is corruntly the property of the state and private ownership is not permitted (law is changing). Land

is managed by the local government, according to principles dating back to the Soviet Union. Given the significant depletion in population and degeneration of the state farms, land is currently in abundant supply. However, in some villages considerable areas of land are tied up in abandoned plantation crops such as tea and tung trees, which cannot easily be transferred back into arable cropping. Access to land requires certain administrative procedures and these appear straightforward. Finance, machinery and labour are more significant constraints to the expansion of land use. All rural householders have a garden plot adjacent to the house which varies from around 0.2 to 1.0 Ha. This land is permanently associated with the house and the owners of the house have certificate affirming their right to use this land. This certificate and right is inheritable. The plot can be expanded if land is available but this is not common. The garden plot is mostly used for vegetables, fruit trees, perennial cash crops as well as for fodder storage and winter housing of livestock; households may also cultivate corn on part of the garden plot. Some villages have consistent plot sizes (e.g. Kindgi 0.25Ha, and Kutol 0.5 Ha) while others have considerable variations in plot size (Labra and Tamish). The majority of household gardens are 0.5 Ha or less, but some villages such as Kindgi and Mziuri have smaller plots (0.25 Ha or less). A few villages have a notable proportion of larger gardens (over 0.5 Ha) i.e. Agubedia and Tamish.

Households invariably rent an additional area of land for corn production. The size of plot varies from 0.2 to 1.0 Ha. A small number of farmers having larger plots. The land is on cornfields which

are allocated to the village by the district land management department based on identified needs and capabilities of the village households. The land is designated for annual crop use and can only be rented on an annual basis (2,3,4,5 and up to 30 years), but all households reported using the same piece of land from year to year. Within the village the land rental is managed by the village administration, in some cases households rent corn land directly from the local state farm. There are less pronounced differences in sizes of cornfield between villages compared to the garden plots.

All citizens have the right to rent larger areas of annual crop land on a yearly (2,3,4,5 and up to 30 years) basis or rent land for perennial crops or for other rural land uses on longer

leases. This requires application to the district office for land management including a project proposal.


Livestock

Ninety percent of all households keep cattle reflecting their significance in the farming system. The

majority of households have five cattle or less, but in some villages (Kutol, Agubedia,

Kindgi and Okumi) over 40% have more than 6 animals. Labra, Tamish, Saberio and Mziuri have much lower levels or even none of these larger herds and Mziuri, Saberio and Okumi have notable levels of households without cattle. The reasons for the significant differences in holding of animals are complex, but important factors include the availability of labour in the household, the availability of grazing land, access to alternative income streams and interest in livestock production.Very few households have buffalo except in villages located on or near the coastal plain where conditions

are better for them. Households with buffalo rarely have more than three animals and normally only one; the proportions of households with buffalo in Tamish (12%), Kutol (25%), Kindgi (30%) and Okumi (10%). Goats, only in very few households (<1%>

they are commonly kept in herds larger than 10. There is notable levels of horse ownership by ethnic Abkhaz but not Greeks,Armenians or Georgians. The significance of these differences is not clear but is probably related to historical ownership and use of horses. The horses are used for draft purposes. All farmer respondents reported keeping pigs and poultry. Pig numbers rarely exceeded 5 per household and poultry numbers varied from 20 to 30 including turkeys and ducks.


Perennial Crops

There are two main categories of perennial crops: subsistence crops and cash crops. Subsistence

perennial crops comprise the fruit trees which are grown in the household garden and which usually occupy around 10% to 20% of the household land. The important perennial cash crops are hazelnuts and citrus (mandarin). Hazelnut trees are particularly popular as they are easy to establish, yield after only a few seasons and have a harvest that appreciates in value over time. Citrus is also popular but its distribution is limited by agro-ecological conditions and produce is perishable requiring rapid marketing. Not all households have perennial cash crops and this may be a useful indicator of

vulnerability. Abkhazia is well endowed with forests and all villages have a local forest designated for “civic usage”.

This forest is managed by the local administration who are entitled to levy a tax on wood extraction; however no village is currently paying for wood. There were no reports of collection of other forest products.


Credit

Households do not use banks on a regular basis either for loans or for savings; larger villages may have

offices for the disbursal of pensions and other government payments but these offices do not take

deposits. Borrowing from neighbours or relatives is widespread but is static or declining due to the low

availability of cash and the strong social requirement to repay. Loans range from

($12 to $7000) and are mainly used for essential foods, agricultural inputs, health costs, education and

local ceremonies. No interest is charged on these loans and the term of the loan is rarely fixed but usually understood to be “short term” and can be paid back on an intermittent basis. Repaying loans in kind, labour or services is possible but depends on the specific relationship, defaulting on these loans is rare. Village shops also provide short-term credit but of much smaller amounts 50 to 600 R and for shorter periods (days and weeks rather than months).

The only other formal lenders active in the rural areas are the Abkhaz government, which provides two types of credit. Firstly credit is provided to active state farms; loans are based on farm expenditure plans and have to be paid back within two years and can even be written off altogether. Interest rates are 30% for perennial crops and interest free for annual crops like tobacco. Secondly credit is provided for starting up new agricultural enterprises from the state privatization fund. Loans can be up to $20,000 and the interest rate is 17% p.a.; repayment does not begin until year 2



Incomes

Agriculture is the most important source of income in the villages and has increased in

importance in the recent past. Sale of surplus agricultural produce is the most common cash income

source; vegetables and fruit prices are low in periods of surplus and households prefer to sell meat, piglets and dairy products which are more under their control and can provide an income when required.

In the Armenian village Labra cash cropping of vegetables provides significant cash incomes for many

households. Rural employment (and consequent cash income) is mostly very low, significant levels are in the North and central Abkhazia from Tourism (3000-6000R).Pensions are an important and reliable social safety net reducing the

vulnerability of the elderly and providing a regular cash income into houses where elderly are present.

Those qualifying for a Russian pension receive 3900 R per month others receive the lower Abkhaz

pension of 770 R per month. Most of the Georgian families in Gali district qualify for IDP status and as

such receive 140 Lari ($60) per month from the Georgian government.